“To monitor, advocate for and influence the impact of fixed income markets in the age of human induced climate change.”
“To monitor, advocate for and influence the impact of fixed income markets in the age of human induced climate change.”
A green bond market where issuers can directly finance what has been called “the world’s most insane energy project” and still claim credit for refinancing a dozen of windmills deserves to be questioned. Could we avoid it? We look into the State Bank of India potential Carmichael coal loan.
Given a potential Carmichael loan from SBI, we review who are the main banking transaction parties having exposure to such a -in our opinion- greenwash. MUFG and HSBC come out on top.
Media reports indicate that SBI is looking to provide USD650mn of fresh funding to Adani Enterprises and the Carmichael coal mine build. We think traditional bond investors, green bond investors and development banks should consider if the SBI's potential actions are in line with their climate targets.
We suggest an alternative way to get almost identical risk-return exposure but without lining the pockets of Aramco shareholder(s).
The Dalrymple coal terminal is one of the world's biggest pieces of coal infrastructure and is being put up for sale by Canadian asset manager Brookfield. There is a lot to comment on as the process enters the retail marketing stage.
In this joint piece with SSFC/Stockholm School of Economics, we argue for the relevance for and discuss the functionality of bond markets for the climate transition. Non-technical piece.
The ECB is facilitating cheap funding access for the world's premiere tar sand producer, Canadian province of Alberta, who is now using borrowed capital to subsidize its industry. Makes sense? AFII opines that is does not.
The recent AUD1mn contribution on behalf of HSBC and the Queensland government to Great Barrier Reef conservation is not in proportion to QLD's role as a top global player in coal. We call it.
Just 30 bond issuers derived by the proposed HLE2G framework and who sit in the ECB's eligible market asset list have a combined carbon footprint of 3.5 gigatonnes CO2. Decarbonisation of the ECB's exposures could be quick and straightforward (practically speaking).
Low carbon credit robustly outperform a traditional portfolio in an apples-for-apples comparison using the ECOBAR framework and S&P Indices, out-of-sample.
World's third largest coal port is being sold by Canadian real asset house Brookfield to potentially the Government of Queensland. Not a good idea, the AFII opines. At least shut the termal part of it.
Some of the world's top investor, such as Allianz and Norge's Bank Investment Management, have large exposures to Adani Ports. We present indication that that funding is reducing cost-of-capital for the Carmichael coal mega-mine. Investments should be reviewed.
How should ESG tilted CDS indices be used? We draw some conclusions from our own trading.
Vattenfall, Fortum and Engie (all government owned/controlled) are key players in the 1 Sep 2020 German coal decommissioning auction. We suggest that neither company will be making proftis in German thermal coal and thus should offer to shut capacity at €0 compensation.
We review the global top decile ESG ranking of Adani Power, a 99.7% coal based electricity company as well as recent investor losses in the company's stockk after a recent delisting announcement.
In this academic paper, we device two different ways to measure the (risk) premium between green and traditional bonds: thorugh cointegration or through realised volatility analysis.
Bond markets are financing fresh capital for coal, gas and oil development, often in direct contradiction of statements to the opposite. We seek to put an end to the worst transgressions, but also push for new, innovative green investment solutions.
Fixed income markets are technically complex with high dimensionality, poor data and often lacking good theoretical models linking climate impact and trading decisions. AFII strives to explore and demystify this vast area, bridging gaps between academia and practitioners.
AFII seeks to inform investment professionals and the broader public about bond investing and impact on the climate transition.
AFII is a non-profit organization taking a bond market practitioner perspective for real climate impact. We like the buzz of a succesful trade and the P&L it brings with it. We are extremely concerned about climate change, and distrust marketing waffle around "sustainable finance".
Anthropocene Fixed Income Institute
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