Different shades of greenium: banks, utilities, and the price of transition

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One possible driver of the renewed surge in European green bond issuance this year is the greenium – the pricing benefit labelled bonds can achieve over conventional instruments. In this paper we build Green, Sustainability, Sustainability-Linked & Transition (GSST) and non-GSST curves for similarly rated EUR bonds in the banking and utilities sectors, which are powering the uptick in issuance, to isolate and measure this effect.

For A-rated banks, we find a greenium of up to 7.5bps at the 10yr point, while BBB-rated utilities show a more modest effect, generally ranging between 4-9bps across most maturities. Much of this difference reflects the composition of each labelled bond universe: Swedish banks and UK utilities are overweight in GSST issuance, while US issuers in both sectors remain concentrated in conventional bonds.

Beyond pricing, GSST bonds offer investors more transparency on capital expenditure and transition plans than conventional bonds raising funds for similar purposes. This can support more informed credit analysis and allow investors to hold higher-emitting issuers within a portfolio while engaging for greater disclosure.