Climate risk pricing

Climate risk is often mispriced. We review unpriced externalities and undertake live market analyses to enable portfolio risk managers to understand the potential impact of climate on credit pricing.

All Bond spotlight Sustainability-Linked Bonds Climate risk pricing Fossil lending Nature loss Transparency Sovereigns and central banks Portfolio analysis Quantitative research
Financial candles on a screen.

Different shades of greenium: banks, utilities, and the price of transition

13/08/2026

Curve construction shows evidence of modest greenium in banks and utilities

Rio Tinto: a just transition case study

08/06/2026

Social risks affect the move to renewables, not just away from fossil fuels

Poland: a just transition case study

01/05/2026

Social risks can jeopardise the success of Poland’s transition

Pricing oil risk: Southeast Asia's sovereign markets

14/04/2026

Countries’ debt performance varies in the wake of Iran war energy shock

An overhead photo of a road submerged by floodwater.

San Miguel Global Power: Liability pressure and coal concentration beneath stable earnings

09/04/2026

San Miguel Global Power: Refinancing risk exposes liability-driven credit constraints

Japan utilities and the energy shock

02/04/2026

Utilities remain vulnerable to prolonged oil and gas market stress

Japan's transition bonds

24/02/2026

Japan’s climate leadership boosted by ICMA guidelines

日本のトランジションボンド市場

24/02/2026

Japan's climate leadership boosted by ICMA guidelines

American Electric Power: a just transition case study

30/01/2026

Social risks of the energy transition have potential credit implications

A magnifying glass zooming in on some statistics.

What the catastrophe bond market could be telling us about climate risk

13/01/2026

Cat bond pricing implies cost of natural disaster protection exceeds realised losses

Fossil bond holdings in sustainable funds

19/05/2025

Sustainable funds with high exposure to oil major bonds underperform

Factories emitting pollution.

Total eclipse of the 2050 net zero deadline

13/01/2025

Total long bond investments may not be consistent with net zero

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