Uruguay SLB update after latest reporting

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Uruguay is one of the few sovereign issuers of Sustainability-Linked Bonds (SLBs), and the first to reach an observation date. Its bond (URUGUA 5.75% 34s) has passed the observation date for its Sustainability Performance Targets (SPTs), with two Key Performance Indicators (KPIs): emissions intensity and native forest area.

The first KPI tracks emissions intensity relative to a 1990 baseline. The most recent data shows a 48% reduction — a -2% year-on-year trend that, if maintained, would meet the 50% base target and avoid a 15bps step-up.

The second KPI measures native forest area against a 2012 baseline, updated only every four years with a one-year lag. No new data was available in May 2026; AFII maintains prior estimates of 25% chance of missing the lower target and 40% chance of achieving the stretch.

AFII's updated illustrative option value stands at 1.2bps running, down from 5.0bps, reflecting the shorter remaining maturity and improved emissions trajectory.