Portfolio analysis

New EIG/Aramco bonds in ESG indices: EOM flow risks

Written by Ulf Erlandsson

Download full paper (0.1mb)

The new EIGPRL USD benchmark bonds have been snapped up by ESG investors as they are included in the JPMorgan ESG CEMBI index.

We opine that this is an error with regards to investor expectations on the index as EIGPRL effectively is Aramco exposure. This could lead to divestment flows once ESG ratings are produced.

Several major players have initiated large lending positions to EIGPRL as they mechanically follow the bond index rules. Those loans will, in our opinion, effectively provide financing to an entity which MSCI indicates as having an “over 4C implied temperature rise.” MSCI’s projection reflects that Aramco emissions will rise from 2.2Gt CO2e today to 3.0Gt in 2050.

As a background on the structure, the EIGPRL bonds come from an SPV issuer that owns a minority stake in the Saudi Arabian Pipeline Company. Aramco own the remaining 51% of that company and is the ultimate controlling owner of the actual pipelines, as well as having a permanent full operational responsibility for them.

To our knowledge, EIGPRL does not have any other investments or activities. The bond proceeds from EIGPRL sale will be used to pay the upfront to Aramco for the Pipeline Company’s 25-year lease of Aramco’s oil pipeline network, via bank bridge loans.

About the author

Ulf Erlandsson

Ulf Erlandsson

Founder, Board member

Dr Ulf Erlandsson founded the Anthropocene Fixed Income Institute and was its first CEO. A pioneer of climate-focused fixed income portfolio management, he was named Environmental Finance’s Bond Personality of the Year 2022.

Before you sign up

By completing this form, you agree to AFII sharing information that we think you may be interested in, including our insights on climate transition. See our Data Protection Policy for more information about how we collect and use your personal data, and any rights you may have in relation to your personal data. You may opt out from our distribution list at any time.