Sovereigns and central banks

Canada’s new nature strategy: an SLB proposal

Written by Jonas David

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Recently, Prime Minister Carney launched Canada's new nature strategy, targeting protection of 30% of land and 28% of marine areas by 2030. We examine how bond markets, and Sustainability-Linked Bonds in particular, could play a critical financing role.

Canada is already an active green bond issuer (CAD 17.5bn outstanding across five bonds), but nature conservation has received only a small share of proceeds. SLBs offer a complementary route: tying coupon adjustments to performance targets rather than ringfencing capital for specific projects.

We propose a 10-year SLB linked to Canada's two 2030 conservation targets, with a stretch goal of 30% marine protection, combined in a dual step-up/step-down structure. Using 25bps adjustments per SPT and illustrative probabilities, AFII's pricing approach gives a positive combined option value (upfront: 0.47%, running: 5.4bps), suggesting such a bond could price at a lower yield than a conventional equivalent.

About the author

Jonas David

Jonas David

Research Director

Based in London, Jonas researches the role of fixed income markets in the climate transition, focusing on key sectors, sovereigns and development finance. He previously worked in emerging markets fixed income at Morgan Stanley Investment Management and UBS.

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