Sovereigns and central banks

Putting sovereign labelled bond issuance into context

Written by Jonas David

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Sovereign issuance of new labelled bonds almost doubled in the first half of 2026 compared to the same period last year, even as corporate issuance stayed broadly flat. This note looks beyond the headline figures to examine the share of labelled bonds outstanding, upcoming maturities, and how refinancing dynamics could shape the market.

With the six largest issuers accounting for 80%, issuance was highly concentrated in H1 2026, led by the United Kingdom and France. Yet these major issuers still have a relatively low share of labelled bonds outstanding, while Chile stands out with its target of having 40-50% of its bonds in labelled format.

Looking ahead, around EUR 30bn of labelled bonds will mature by end-2027, with Germany, Hong Kong and Mexico the key markets to watch. As bonds mature they are typically refinanced through new issuance, giving investors an opportunity to engage with issuers.

The paper also examines refinancing dynamics for Use-of-Proceeds (UoP) bonds. The need for a recurring pipeline of green expenditures may bias large issuers towards refinancing their existing green budget rather than mobilising additional, long-term capital for transition investment. Meanwhile, smaller issuers face the opposite challenge if they don’t have enough eligible expenditures to sustain rollovers. Sustainability-Linked Bonds could address some of these issues.

About the author

Jonas David

Jonas David

Research Director

Based in London, Jonas researches the role of fixed income markets in the climate transition, focusing on key sectors, sovereigns and development finance. He previously worked in emerging markets fixed income at Morgan Stanley Investment Management and UBS.

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